
Last weekend, NPR’s On the Media had a story called “Reading Between the Lines” on CNN’s squiggly lines that run underneath the debating presidential candidates. The movement of the lines are driven by knobs turned by uncommitted Ohio voters, sitting in CNN’s studio during the debate.
As you watch the debates, even though CNN has told you that these uncommitted Ohioans are not a statistically representative sample, you are influenced by their knob turning. Just like you can be influenced by your friends’ laughter and comments in a face-to-face group setting, as you watch those lines moving up and down, you are convinced that McCain is angry and Obama is presidential. There is lots of experimental evidence of this from previous elections (read the OTM transcript).
My PhD thesis focused on this exact issue: real-time visualizations of social behavior and how this information changes the dynamics and your perceptions of an interaction. For my project, Second Messenger, I focused on small, face-to-face groups receiving feedback about their group dynamics, but the phenomenon is universal and extends beyond social visualization. Behavioral economists refer to it as framing.
Besides being interesting to think about, it is important to consider the influence of the squiggly lines. First, CNN should be aware of its power to influence viewers. Second, viewers should be aware that their attitudes can be manipulated by this relatively simple and unrepresentative data point. They discussed this a bit on OTM:
BOB GARFIELD (interviewer): We have established that the squiggly lines do not represent any statistically significant data. And … we’ve established that people are influenced by the squiggly lines. Does that not mean that it is journalistically irresponsible to put them on the TV? I mean, is CNN doing the right thing in adding this feature to its coverage?
SAM SCHECHNER: We’re social animals. We process information in the context of the people around us. We do watch our debates with friends or at a bar or in some sort of group environment, frequently, in part because we want to hear the reactions of other people. That’s in part why … you and I can’t stop looking at that CNN line on the bottom of the screen.
I think it’s hard to argue, necessarily, that it’s a bad thing. In fact, the people who do it – the professors at SMU – see it as a way of shifting some of the balance of influence from pundits, who have been shown to be able to have a pretty strong effect with their pre- and post-debate spin and how they set expectations and frame the debates to actual voters.
I’m not sure I agree that uncommitted Ohio voters are the antidote to polarizing pundits, but something to think about.
More information on the report:
WSJ, 10/10/08: “When Your Political Opinion Isn’t Yours Alone” Broadcasts of Political Debates That Include Live Audience Feedback Can Influence What You’re Thinking
More on my research:
Joan Morris DiMicco, Kate J Hollenbach, Anna Pandolfo, Walter Bender. (2007) “The Impact of Increased Awareness while Face-to-Face.” Special Issue on Awareness Systems Design, Human-Computer Interaction. Volume 22 (2007), Number 1.